On the surface, Jeremy Corbyn's aides appear to
be mishandling the current crisis in the Labour Party - there is a lack of dynamism in responding to critics and an unnecessary defensiveness. The attack dogs of the PLP smell fear and it only encourages them.
Corbyn may now be wilting under pressure but there
is undoubted bullying going on here. The alleged deletion of the hard drive
on the finance bill (reported in the Guardian today) is a very serious matter that can only be interpreted
(if not a genuine error) as political sabotage, one that could affect the lives of
vulnerable working people negatively.
However, the more serious issue is
the underlying political situation in the country which is more complex
than it first appears. The recent increase in party membership seems to be in non-marginal
non-Labour territory while the Party is weakening or shrinking in
traditional Labour areas placing the marginal seats (the key ones in an
FPTP system) at serious risk.
MPs fear for their jobs because
Corbyn is allegedly not reaching out to working class constituencies but how can he reach out in this way if he is hobbled by the PLP itself? It
is these MPs who have been disabling the Corbyn-McDonnell team from
developing a message more in tune with the vote that took place on June
23rd.
The hollowing out of the Party in its traditional areas certainly has
nothing to do with Corbyn and everything to do with Blair and Brown's
era of control (and that of Milliband). Meanwhile, the coup leaders are radical
middle class Remainers who may be incapable of communicating with the
discontents that UKIP is now targeting.
It is arguable that
Corbyn could have reached out to the working class long before this if
he had not been hobbled by the Party's pro-EU position. Corbyn
is a weak Leader thrown into an intolerable situation because of the
refusal of the PLP to face reality on the ground.
His office know what
is at stake - throwing the Party back into the hands of a professional political class
which has failed to engage with the electorate in stages since the
landslide of 1997 and has no coherent plan of its own for electoral
recovery. A weak Leader of the Left cannot resign because its strong
Leader (McDonnell) would not get on the ballot under current rules -
the Left and the new membership would be erased from history and the Party handed over to make-weights.
The
rebels huff and puff but cannot come up with their own
alternative who could beat Corbyn in a straight democratic fight. They
are also made up of multiple competing factions - the old Labour Right (represented now
by Watson who seems to be playing as straight a bat as he can under the circumstances), the soft Left (represented by the younger Benn and
Kinnock), the Brownites and the hard-line Blairites, allegedly manipulated from
behind by PR advisers.
The PR Campaign which appears to have had months of preparation has framed the
media and so much of the general public against Corbyn, thereby adding
another weapon ('public opinion') to the rebel armoury but it is one which the
Left knows is based on the same sort of false framing that we saw in the
Remain campaign. Part of the crisis of our times is public resistance to manipulative political framing of the debate - the spinners are crumbling before the stubbornness of the people and are forced into increasingly hysterical and bullying positions as a result.
The unions are aghast and divided - some have
thrown themselves in with the rebels because of potential Left rebellions in their
own ranks, others are fully committed to the Left. The stakes are immensely
high and the 'schwerpunkt' of the battle is the mind of Corbyn himself -
hence the Left (which acts as a collective here) shores up and shields
him in a ring of steel while the rebels apply extreme, often bullying,
pressure directly and through the media on the man and only the man.
If
he snaps they win. If he holds, they have to find a candidate-challenger
and lose everything. This is, in short, one of the most brutal and
ruthless engagements ever seen in British politics in which morality has
no meaning.
There is one other factor which is driving the
Blairites and, to a lesser extent, the Soft Left - Chilcot. There is no
conspiracy theory needed here but Chilcot, pushed continuously into the long
grass until now, will be a decisive judgment on a former Prime Minister
and his Foreign Secretary. Normally, it would be a simple partisan
matter and the effect would be neutered since a war crimes case is
unlikely to be demonstrated under Nuremburg principles (or will it?).
If there
is any ambiguity in this, however, Corbyn would be expected to turn on
his former Leader and may even prosecute the case for war crimes. There is a back story here of conflict over Middle Eastern policies that pulls in criticism of NATO, of Atlanticism and of Israel - and the antisemitism narrative (also carefully framed to promote hysteria rather than thought) is part of the mix.
Corbyn is
only dangerous if he is in office on Wednesday - once out of office, he
is just a discredited Leftie. So, the mission from the old Atlantic Right is to get
him out of office before Wednesday or destroy his authority.
Corbyn's alleged weak leadership of the Remain campaign was merely an excuse to
drive this war forward and quickly and pull in an angry mass base behind it. The timing is carefully designed to
split the Corbynistas over Europe itself.
The Left is actually highly
critical of the EU. It only chose to campaign for Remain on a rather
spurious makeshift policy of internal reform that had more holes in it
than a Swiss cheese.
The reasoning (proven flawed) was based on a belief that by conceding on the European Union, the inevitable coup attempt could be deferred. The June 23rd vote now frees the Left to accept Brexit
and then campaign for a Socialist Britain.
The Right not only do not
want acceptance of Brexit, they don't want a Socialist Britain and
they know that many young Party activists were as committed to Remain as
they were to Corbyn. June 23rd thus offered an opportunity for the Right to
mobilise the Remain vote alongside Liberal Democrat and dissident
Socialist and anti-racist networks to create a 'popular' movement to
contain and then defeat Corbyn.
However it seems as if the
Neo-Remain movement is not all that it appears to be. 30,00-50,000 on
the streets is not actually a lot, Corbynistas appear to be mobilising
for their man in preference to Europe, there have been dodgy practices
exposed in the petition and the involvement of big business and PR people is
being exposed on social media.
It gets worse. Geldof and Izzard are now figures of fun,
radical Remainers are not necessarily the majority in many CLPs and it
is clear that no PLP member seems ready to rely fully on the Neo-Remain
movement to launch them into office by mounting a challenge.
The public has moved on and it
seems that only bankers and big business are continuing to moan about
the result in public (alongside some petit-bourgeois students) - not exactly the
natural friends of the working class. So, with four days to go to
Chilcot, the choices are simple - will Corbyn accept some untrustworthy
deal and go before the release of the Report, will he hang on to force
a challenge or will he leave only on condition of a change to party rules that
allows McDonnell to stand in his place?
The collective leadership of the
Left and four decades of tough survival in the wilderness suggests that
Corbyn will go to ground and hang on until he is challenged or the Left
can be promised a viable alternative candidate. What we can rely on is
that the operation to oust Corbyn will now increase in
intensity until it reaches levels of unparalleled viciousness aided and
abetted by the trained ferrets in the mainstream media.
At a certain point,
though, the bullying may result in blow-back within the softer unaligned elements in
the PLP who may begin to waver at the aggression of their allies. Bullying in itself may mobilise members and some of the public and
union activists in particular (often hyper-sensitive to bullying in workplace situations) for Corbyn.
All in all, despite all the pressures on him, Corbyn appears to be down rather than out and there is still room for a fight-back although how this cannot end in some split in the Labour Party beats this observer. Eventually there will be a stabilisation based on compromise but surely either the Hard Left or the Blairite Right will be exuded from the Party within months.
Showing posts with label European Referendum. Show all posts
Showing posts with label European Referendum. Show all posts
Sunday, 3 July 2016
Tuesday, 21 June 2016
Panel Contribution - Initiatives of Change Conference: The Middle East Migration Crisis - Genesis and Responses – London, June 20th, 2016
Seven minutes is not a great deal of time to provide a creative solution to our biggest current challenge – the mass migration not only of the dispossessed by war but of the global poor under conditions of globalisation. The crisis is not just one of the Middle East and Europe. It is a global crisis. I have time just to propose one big political shift of emphasis.
TPPR is primarily an adviser to the private sector on the
risk implications of changes in our political situation. We have been much
preoccupied with Brexit which comes to a head on Thursday. The Brexit Debate
contains important lessons for us. Basically, the liberal middle classes want
idealism from their leafy suburbs while many working class people would like
some compassion directed at their situation instead.
The cultural idealist in the metropolis who has done well
out of globalisation has suddenly faced a revolt from half his fellows. The
latter have realised, perhaps too late, that they have one shot at recovering
their old cultural status before, not migrants, but the liberal middle classes
in all its manifestations confirm their minority status in their own land.
Migration is too often framed as one of humanitarian duty
against racism and xenophobia. But it is also one of class, of classes that see
themselves (whether petit-bourgeois East Coast shopkeeper or working class
Northerner) not merely as the general losers in the globalisation game but as
on the edge of permanent insecurity and exploitation because of it.
The numbers of migrants is always exaggerated in political
discourse but this truth is often used as an excuse to try to dismiss
complainants as irrational or vicious. In fact, their protest is rational on
several grounds.
First, the flow of migrants is increasing. They are not
fools in the belief that assimilated migrants will come to be a permanent
voting bloc working with the liberal-minded middle classes to steer resources
ever more in the direction of those with the political power. The fears are
anticipatory and correct.
Second, they see free movement of labour, in association
with the capture of their political movements by the middle classes, including
the official parties of the Left, as a means of atomising them and driving
down wage rates but it also observably increases competition for scarce
resources especially housing.
Many working people see what happens when unscrupulous
exploitative business takes up the opportunity of cheap labour without having
to invest in social infrastructure, the social capital needed to sustain the
communities into which the migrants are also inserted without much social
support other than the family, clan or tribe.
Third, the average working class reaction to people from
faraway places and different cultures begins with being tolerant (although, of
course there are a minority of fascists in these communities) but resentment
grows – yet not necessarily because of the migrant …
When the dominant culture – the world of government and the
BBC to oversimplify – engages in what the local community thinks of as an
intrusive positive discrimination in which its own history and values are
disrespected, it is this disrespect, anticipatory of humiliation, which becomes
the problem.
The best of the Left has always tried to point out that an
exploited white working class person and an exploited migrant have the same
problem at heart. In general, the British working class has not been averse to
this. Many of these issues would certainly be less salient if the globalising
system had not resulted in an economic crash in 2008 in which the higher you
were up the middle class food chain, the less likely you were to be hurt.
But now we are in the economic doldrums. Large numbers of
people feel disrespected and under threat. Nor are they are wrong in seeing
their problems increase if cheap labour is to be the engine that tries to keep
a failing economic system alive until the next innovation-led economic cycle
many years away.
And the creative solution to the long term problem of
refugee and even economic migrant acceptability? We step back and give
ourselves a three, perhaps even seven, year breathing space in which the West
allows itself to put up some sufficient short term barriers to totally free
movement of labour in order to buy itself valuable time.
Why? To allow the human-all-too-human to adjust to new
conditions and prepare for the next economic cycle. To reconstruct a culture of
respect for the ordinary person whether native or migrant. To put idealistic
liberals back in their box as the dominant political species. To put in place
the necessary managed system of migration control.
The positive results would be a breathing space for more
toleration, less populism, more acceptance of those migrants who are here, the
ending of an exploitative labour market, the political consensus for vital
social investment overseas and the eventual widespread social acceptance of a
restoration of moderate managed migration with an adequate infrastructure in
place to handle it.
Labels:
Assimilation,
Brexit,
Class,
European Referendum,
Free Movement,
Infrastructure,
Labour,
Migration,
Populism,
Racism,
Refugees,
Toleration,
TPPR,
UK Politics,
Xenophobia
Saturday, 7 May 2016
Text of Resignation Letter to Labour Party Dated Today
Dear X –
It is with regret that I resign from the Labour Party. Could you remove
me from all membership and e-circulation lists? I do not think this will come
as a surprise but it strikes me as good mannered to give some reasons. It would
appear that I made a mistake in re-joining the Party and it is for me to take
responsibility for my misjudgement. The reasons may, however, be instructive
because I am not alone in my concerns.
1 Lack of Respect for Dissent Within
the Tradition
The insulting response by the Labour In Europe representative to my dissenting
position on the European Referendum and the failure of the Chair to offer any
reasonable opportunity for a reply would not in itself be sufficient cause to
leave.
What provided sufficient cause alongside other issues of concern was the
discovery that a Party Conference decision was not merely the basis for the
decision of the Party Leadership to unite around the pro-Remain policy (which
is reasonable) but that it was clear that those who disagreed with the policy would,
more generally, not be treated with respect but rather treated as the enemy
within.
I was not alone across the Party in finding pressure, often bullying
(though I would never accuse anyone in XXXXXXXXX CLP of this), being
placed on Members not to promote a dissident view but to follow a ‘line’, an
attitude that I thought was one that went out with the old Communist Party. This
lack of respect for reasonable dissent within the democratic socialist
tradition was, frankly, shocking.
2 Lack of Respect for Evidence-Based
Debate
The recent furore over Livingstone’s radio comments was equally
disturbing. In fact, Livingstone had expressed an opinion based on a reasonable
interpretation of certain facts. He had not expressed any anti-Semitic opinion
whatsoever and that was clear at the time. Another MP then barracked him
aggressively in public and in an un-comradely way.
Again, if this had resulted in an open debate about what Livingstone
said, it would be classed as political education. It may be that the balance of
opinion might reasonably have contested his position. Instead, Livingstone was
virtually witch-hunted in public and the MP who verbally attacked him not only escaped
any censure for his appalling behaviour but was protected by the Whips.
The matter was then ‘framed’ in the media as one of general antisemitism (which was un-evidenced)
in terms that bode ill for future freedom of debate and speech. Once again, the
Party appeared to be moving towards the adoption of ‘lines’ and the rejection of
open debate and away from a strategy of public political education which is the
only way to engage honourably with the British people.
One aspect of this farrago was that the thuggish behaviour of the Labour
Right and the intemperate arguments of the Labour Left were both derivative of
the fact that each had its own constituency based on identity, Jewish or Left-Muslim
in this case, which leads me to the third reason …
3 The Infiltration of the Party by Identity
Politics
One thing that has radically changed since my earlier period with the
Party is the further intensification of American-style identity politics as an
acceptable ideology for a democratic socialist party. I find myself very
uncomfortable with identity politics because it collectivises not the people as
a whole but sections of the population around their attributes and beliefs. It
is an indirect concession to fascism.
What do all these have in common? They represent a closed-in exclusive
activist ideology that is deeply alienating to dissent within the democratic
socialist tradition – a person can be disrespected because they are a) critical
of the European Project, b) educated, meaning here willing to test opinions
against facts and undertake a civilised debate, and c) male (and, no doubt, the
wrong skin colour in some contexts).
Enough is enough. The Party was founded on general working-class
representation and on Enlightenment principles based on educational improvement
and equality. The post-Marxist infiltration of the Party has created something
else entirely – a liberal-left middle class party that expects group-think as a
matter of course and reinstates communitarian ideology in place of political
pragmatism and liberation ideology.
This has little to do with Left and Right – I am a Corbyn supporter and
the Labour Right have led on the promotion of identity politics – but everything
to do with civilisation and progress. The Labour Right are far more culpable in
general than the incoming Left but I am reluctant to waste the rest of my life trying
to contribute to a Party in a state of near-civil war, one in which my core
values are clearly not respected.
Having said all that, I want to emphasise that there is no rancour or
issue with the local Party (other than the failure to challenge visiting
officials and identity activists). I know that the members are hard-working,
decent, intelligent and good people who have made great strides in a very
conservative local environment. I wish
them individually well but it would be wrong to stay silent.
Unfortunately, I cannot wish a Party well that I fear would bring
its new habits of discrimination, authoritarianism and evasion and avoidance of
challenging debate into high office. Armed with the machinery of the State,
there is a serious risk that this culture of disrespect for dissent, of
rejection of open debate in favour of media brawling and of discriminatory
identity politics could become oppressive.
It is simply not enough to say that we should put up with these flaws in
order to ensure a Labour Government, especially one that can reverse
neo-liberal austerity measures. History teaches us that a Government that does
not have core values based on reason and respect is a very dangerous Government
and an anti-austerity culturally authoritarian Government could be very
dangerous indeed.
If the Labour Party wants to win my vote (since that is now what it has
come down to), it will have to demonstrate to me and to others that it
represents the interests of the whole working population and not that of
special interests, that it adopts pragmatic evidence-based policies and that it
can accommodate reasoned debate and criticism on major existential issues. At the moment, the Party is not for me.
The resignation is effective immediately.
Kind Regards
Tim Pendry
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